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Can Fiserv return to a growth stock after the Fake Frank Bubble?

Fiserv (FISV): Historical Performance & The Last 6 Years
The Pre-2019 Track Record: Steady, Boring, Brilliant
Fiserv's reputation before 2019 was that of a predictable compounder — a back-office financial technology company delivering 4–5% organic revenue growth and 10–15% EPS growth annually for decades. Its 20-year total return is 462%, which is impressive precisely because it was built brick by brick, not in bursts. Think of it as a toll booth on the financial system — unglamorous, mission-critical, and quietly profitable. Banks couldn't easily rip out Fiserv's core processing systems, which meant sticky, recurring revenue. FinanceCharts

2019: The Big Bet — First Data Acquisition
The first major anomaly arrived in 2019 when Fiserv made a transformative, and very controversial, move. Fiserv agreed to acquire First Data Corporation in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $22 billion, receiving a fixed exchange ratio of 0.303 Fiserv shares per First Data share — a 29% premium at announcement. This essentially doubled Fiserv's size overnight, brought in the Clover point-of-sale platform, and shifted the company from a pure B2B infrastructure player into merchant-facing commerce territory. sec
The integration hangover was real. The deal loaded the company with debt, complicated its story for investors, and blurred what had been a very clean investment thesis. Even heading into 2019, pre-deal Fiserv expected only 4.5–5% internal revenue growth and 10–14% adjusted EPS growth — solid but modest. Post-deal, Wall Street had to recalibrate entirely. sec

2020–2022: Pandemic Noise, Integration Grind
The stock performed reasonably through COVID but never rerated meaningfully higher. The market was skeptical about whether the First Data integration was actually working. The total return for 2022 was -2.62% — essentially flat in a bad market year, reflecting investor uncertainty rather than confidence. Organic growth guidance was generally met, but the stock traded at a discount to peers. FinanceCharts

The Exchange Saga: Nasdaq → NYSE → Nasdaq
This is one of the stranger corporate optics stories in recent fintech history, and it happened in two acts:
Act 1 — June 2023: Going to NYSE
On June 6, 2023, Fiserv switched its stock listing from Nasdaq to the New York Stock Exchange and changed its ticker symbol from FISV to FI. CEO Frank Bisignano framed it as a prestige move — aligning with blue-chip peers, signaling fintech leadership. Bisignano said the decision was meant to signal the company's "leadership position in fintech." The stock was performing well at the time, and it looked like a victory lap. WikipediaFiserv, Inc.

Act 2 — November 2025: Back to Nasdaq
Then came the embarrassing reversal. On November 11, 2025, after over two years on the NYSE under the symbol FI, Fiserv switched its listing back to the Nasdaq Global Select Market and changed its ticker symbol back to FISV. The rationale was framed around closer alignment with Nasdaq's technology-focused investor base, but the timing was telling — it coincided almost exactly with the launch of the "One Fiserv" restructuring plan and a significant guidance cut. The return to FISV was, in many ways, a retreat to familiar territory at a moment of operational stress. WikipediaThe New York Report

2023–2024: The Peak and the Problem
2023 delivered a 31.43% total return, and 2024 was even stronger at 54.64%. The stock hit an all-time high. Fiserv's all-time high closing price was $237.79 on March 3, 2025. Clover was gaining momentum, and the market finally appeared to believe the post-First Data story. FinanceChartsMacroTrends
Then it fell apart quickly.

2025–2026: The Crash and the Reset
The total return for 2025 was -67.30% — a stunning collapse from that March peak. The causes were layered: guidance cuts, slowing organic growth, heavy investment spend, and macro uncertainty around consumer spending at small businesses. By Q3 2025, Fiserv had cut its organic revenue growth outlook to just 3.5–4% and adjusted EPS guidance to $8.50–$8.60 for the year — a dramatic reduction from earlier targets. Alongside those Q3 results, Fiserv launched the "One Fiserv" action plan to prioritize and enhance client focus. FinanceCharts + 2
As of late April 2026, the stock was around $62.65 — down roughly 74% from its all-time high. That's an extraordinary compression for a company with $21 billion in revenue and positive cash flow. MacroTrends

Can the Old Growth Track Record Return?
This is the heart of the debate, and the honest answer is: probably not in the same form, but the underlying business is arguably stronger — if execution improves.
Here's why the old model is unlikely to simply resume:
The pre-2019 Fiserv was a smaller, simpler machine. Squeezing 4–5% organic growth out of bank processing contracts was repeatable and predictable. Today's Fiserv is a merchant-facing platform business competing with Square, Toast, Stripe, and global acquirers — a fundamentally more volatile, competitive environment.
Here's the bull case for why growth could re-accelerate:
Clover's value-added services reached 27% of revenue in Q4 2025, up 5 points year-over-year, and management targets Clover GPV growth of 10–15% in 2026. The thesis is that Clover becomes what Square/Block tried to be — a full small business operating system, not just a payment terminal. Analysts point to Clover's 25% value-added services penetration with a path to 35–40%+ as a high-margin compounding engine the market may be underweighting. TIKRSimply Wall St
Financial Solutions core banking and debit processing carry near-irreplaceable switching costs, meaning client defection risk is structurally low. Simply Wall St
And the valuation math has shifted sharply. At roughly 10–11x 2026 adjusted EPS, the stock appears to price in essentially no recovery from the guided trough — any normalization toward higher adjusted margins in 2027–28 could create meaningful upside. The average analyst rating remains "Buy," with a 12-month price target around $127.53. Simply Wall StStockAnalysis

Bottom Line
The historical slow-and-steady compounder version of Fiserv is effectively gone — that company no longer exists in its original form after the First Data merger. What remains is a larger, messier, higher-potential but higher-risk entity trying to prove it can be both a reliable financial infrastructure provider and a growth platform business. The exchange round-trip (Nasdaq → NYSE → Nasdaq) is a reasonable metaphor for that identity confusion: it was a company that briefly thought it had arrived, then had to acknowledge it still had significant work to do.
Whether it can rerate from here depends heavily on Clover's execution, the success of "One Fiserv," and whether the payments sector recovers investor confidence. The fundamentals — cash flow, sticky clients, market position — are intact. The credibility with investors, after two years of guidance misses, is not.


Wealth platform

Squad lead here

Long time fidelity. Got 12 months severance, holidays paid out to cash and prorated bonus.

Was asked to keep it to myself but fu-k that sh-t, I hate how they broke the news so I don't care.

Multiple scrum master in my previous role got impacted as well.

Impacted BU based on what I heard:
Wealth platform, advisory, Asset management, Brokerage Record keeping


O'Reilly IT announces mandatory return to office, remote workers must relocate to Springfield, MO

This morning there was a corporate IT Zoom call where it was announced that a new IT center was being built in Springfield, MO. All USA based IT workers will be required to work from the new office starting August 2027. No jobs are being eliminated at this time, but all remote workers will need to move to Springfield, MO by August 2027 to work from the office or their jobs will be eliminated at that time.


Posting here is Not a priority

Believe it or not, for those that are impacted today, coming to this site and sharing the news is not a priority. They are going through an emotional roller coaster, need to inform their families, etc. so just because people aren’t posting here, doesn’t mean it’s not happening.


Former exec suing

https://www.ignites.com/c/5156214/727834

Read the article with my free account…
All I can say is this person was one of us (a little higher level than most of us though) and out there speaking the truth, raising concerns, trying to get people to listen - for what just to be canned for being a whistleblower.

So much for our ethics and “if you see something say something” policy.

Everyone better tread lightly here.


There is no layoff today.

Believe it or not, it isn't happening today. Can’t you see they’re playing with you? They read these threads; they post here. To a sociopath, keeping you on edge is a game—and they love to win.

Stop feeding them.

It will happen when you least expect it, and no amount of "prep" will matter. In the meantime, get your life back. Don’t let rumors and screen-time rot your mind; that’s exactly what they want. You aren't dealing with people who play by "human" rules.


AI APOCALYPSE

trend is, people are hating AI because of the impact it has on the environment all to cut some corners and not pay people... meanwhile companies are SHOVING THAT SLOP down our throats. STOP. AI is inaccurate, it hallucinates. You claim to be making lots of money yet axing tons of talented people just to push AI. this will fail and blow up in your face.


Layoffs Happening In My Group

Wasn't just rumors for the group I'm in. Teams is full of people sharing what time their calendar invite that just came in is for with HR + some leader. Everyone promising to give each other recommendations if needed, posting personal emails and phone numbers just in case, etc.

Don't know the count yet. Waiting to see if/what time my meeting will be. Bad vibes for sure.

The rumors weren't wrong for everyone.


Packaging Firms Cut Jobs, Close Plants

Packaging manufacturers are implementing significant workforce reductions and facility shutdowns. Clearwater Paper is cutting 70 positions and 50% production capacity at its Arkansas mill. Gerresheimer Glass will close its Chicago Heights plant, terminating 172 employees. Graphic Packaging International laid off over 500 staff to achieve $60 million in cost savings. Oliver, TriMas, and Veritiv Visual are also closing plants, affecting dozens more workers.

https://www.harianbasis.co/en/packaging-manufacturers-layoffs-facility-closures


Spirit Airlines Reduces Staff Amid Financial Strain

Spirit Airlines announced hundreds of layoffs. These job cuts affect Texas airports. Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston airports are impacted. The airline faces rising fuel costs. Financial strain contributed to the decision.

Texas

https://www.cbs19.tv/video/news/local/spirit-airlines-layoffs-hit-texas-airports-as-workers-face-uncertain-future/501-15169b4b-a98a-40bc-82ed-1000cb42d68c


Arctic Wolf Cuts 250 Jobs for AI Investment

Arctic Wolf eliminated approximately 250 jobs in 2026. This affected multiple teams, including sales, product development, and marketing. The cybersecurity vendor is restructuring to invest more in artificial intelligence. This investment focuses on its superintelligence platform and agentic Security Operations Centre. Canadian employees have contacted a law firm regarding severance offers.

https://stlawyers.ca/blog-news/arctic-wolf-layoffs/


Accupac Layoffs Prompt WARN Act Violation Inquiry

Strauss Borrelli PLLC is investigating Accupac. This inquiry concerns potential mass layoffs in Lakewood, New Jersey. The federal WARN Act mandates 60 days' notice for such events. Accupac notified the state of laying off 260 employees. Employees may be owed 60 days of pay and benefits.

Lakewood, New Jersey

https://straussborrelli.com/2026/05/05/accupac-warn-act-investigation/


The Ottawa Hospital Cuts 400 Jobs Amid Financial Challenges

The Ottawa Hospital is eliminating approximately 400 positions. These cuts primarily impact nursing staff. The hospital faces significant financial difficulties. Non-unionized employees have legal rights concerning severance pay. Severance entitlements are based on individual situations and common law standards.

Ottawa, Ontario

https://stlawyers.ca/blog-news/ottawa-hospital-layoffs/


Nova Scotia College Sheds 91 Jobs Due to Deficit

Forty-five employees were laid off by NSCC. The college is addressing a $15 million financial gap. Overall, 91 roles were eliminated by the college. Both management and union staff faced reductions. Faculty positions were not affected by these changes.

Nova Scotia, Canada

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/nscc-eliminates-91-positions-as-it-grapples-with-15m-deficit-9.7189712


Perrigo Initiates Layoffs at Georgia, Vermont Facility

Perrigo is cutting 161 jobs at its Georgia, Vermont facility. This affects nearly half of the site's employees. The company intends to end production at this Georgia site by June 30, 2026. The closure will ultimately impact about 420 employees. Aging infrastructure and regulatory changes were cited by Perrigo.

Georgia, Vermont

https://vtdigger.org/2026/05/06/perrigo-to-lay-off-161-as-company-heads-toward-vermont-site-closure/


Arctic Wolf Cuts 250 Jobs for AI Investment

Cybersecurity vendor Arctic Wolf laid off 250 workers. This restructuring aims to boost investment in AI initiatives. The cuts affect less than 10 percent of its total workforce. Sales, product development, and marketing roles were impacted. The company plans to focus on its Superintelligence platform and Agentic SOC.

https://www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/05/06/arctic-wolf-cuts-250-jobs-in-ai-push/5231213


Pleasanton Unified Reverses Staff Layoffs Due to New Funding

Pleasanton Unified rescinded some staff layoffs. This followed a budget agreement with a labor association. The agreement generated nearly $910,000 in savings. Grant funding also stopped social worker job cuts. The district continues seeking funds to restore more positions.

Pleasanton, California

https://www.independentnews.com/news/education_news/the-pleasanton-unified-school-district-rescinds-some-layoffs-after-budget-agreement-funding/article_01ffef86-c254-4e34-934f-2e9ba3d53856.html


Product line sales.

Some major product line sales are being considered as the demand shifts towards the profitable and relatively low cost drone business. .
Electronic warfare, (avionics) is on the chopping block. No need to retool or retrain. Old sites like Clifton and Rochester will likely close in the coming year.


UMD Workers Protest Job Cuts and Hiring Freeze

University of Maryland union members protested a hiring freeze and anticipated layoffs. Dozens of employees marched to the administration building. The university announced up to 150 positions could be eliminated. This decision stems from reduced state funding for the university system. AFSCME Local 1072 organized the protest and attempted to deliver a letter.

https://dbknews.com/2026/05/07/umd-staff-protests-hiring-freeze-layoffs/


University of Kentucky Reorganization Affects Over 1,000 Employees

The University of Kentucky is laying off over 1,000 employees. The affected staff includes 926 food service personnel. UK HealthCare will eliminate 61 positions due to restructuring. Another 36 jobs in Behavioral Science are also being cut. These layoffs are part of a broader university reorganization.

Lexington, Kentucky

https://kentuckylantern.com/2026/05/06/hundreds-of-employees-at-the-university-of-kentucky-will-be-laid-off-federal-notices-show/


Lorain Voters Approve School Funding After Job Cuts

Lorain voters approved a school levy on Tuesday. This measure, Issue 5, passed with 51.32% of the vote. The approval follows a year of major budget cuts and layoffs. The district recently cut 167 positions, including 106 teachers. The levy aims to stabilize finances and prevent more job losses.

Lorain, Ohio

https://www.cleveland19.com/2026/05/07/lorain-voters-approve-school-levy-after-district-layoffs-cuts/


McDermott Will & Schulte Reduces Associate Ranks

McDermott Will & Schulte recently conducted layoffs. The firm separated from a small number of associates. These layoffs occurred across multiple practice areas. The firm stated it is aligning with shifting client needs. Layoffs reportedly extended beyond the New York office.

https://abovethelaw.com/2026/05/newly-merged-top-20-biglaw-firms-growing-pains-include-layoffs/


Multiple Firms Plan New Jersey Workforce Reductions

Three companies plan to eliminate almost 400 New Jersey positions. Fulton Bank will reduce 95 positions at its Parsippany office by July 31. Worldwide Flight Services eliminated 80 to 100 jobs in Elizabeth quickly. Accupac plans to remove 260 roles from its Lakewood facility. Accupac faces legal inquiries concerning WARN Act adherence.

https://www.nj.com/business/2026/05/nearly-400-nj-jobs-at-risk-as-3-major-companies-announce-layoffs.html