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Fiserv (FISV) Could Be 62% Undervalued Following Its Clover Venue Win

Have faith clover will save us and even outsiders are now starting to see that. Yes fb was bad. And ML went back to banking. This is potentially the time to create generational wealth

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-fisv/fiserv/news/fiserv-fisv-could-be-62-undervalued-following-its-clover-ven/amp

September 23, 2026

Simply Wall St
Fiserv (FISV) is back in focus after the Winnipeg Blue Bo----s selected its Clover platform to run venue-wide commerce, a fresh data point for investors watching the payments technology group.

That fresh CFL win for Clover comes as Fiserv’s share price has retreated, with the stock down about 13% over the past month and almost 30% year to date, while the 1-year total shareholder return has fallen nearly 65%. This pattern signals fading momentum even as product wins and a recent leadership change reshape the story.

Scan how Fiserv’s pullback compares to other payment and financial technology players by reviewing the hand picked 30 high quality undervalued stocks that combine solid balance sheets with meaningful cash generation.

The drop in Fiserv to about US$45.95 has already reset expectations for many holders. The key question now is whether that reset is sufficient, or whether it still makes more sense to wait for a cheaper entry point.

Most Popular Narrative: 62% Undervalued
On Simply Wall St, the most widely followed narrative on Fiserv now pegs fair value at about $119.99, a steep gap to the recent $45.95 close that frames the current sell off less as a minor wobble and more as a full reset in expectations.

We believe FISV is valued at basement levels due to value-destructive decisions of the former management team, credibility issues due to the recent reset of guidance by the new management teams, and unfounded fears that their merchant and financial business units are in decline.

As the new management team continues to execute in stabilizing top-line growth and making the necessary investments to strengthen FISV’s competitive standing as well as profit margins, we believe the stock will re-rate to our base case of $120 per share, which implies a modest P/E ratio of 10x on management guidance for 2029 earnings.

See why 47 investors see Fiserv as 62% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $119.99 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, Fiserv’s sharp share price decline and ongoing competitive pressure around Clover could keep sentiment fragile if execution or guidance disappoints again.

Find out about the key risks to this Fiserv narrative.

Next Steps
If this mix of concern and optimism around Fiserv feels familiar, consider acting while the debate is active and weigh the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

Looking for more Fiserv alternative ideas?
Do not stop your research with Fiserv alone. Fresh opportunities often sit just outside the headlines, and a quick screen can surface them before others react.

Target resilient payouts by scanning companies that match the 7 dividend fortresses and see which income plays still line up with your risk tolerance.
Zero in on financial strength using the list of solid balance sheet and fundamentals (23 results) to focus on businesses that pair healthier leverage with steadier fundamentals.
Hunt for overlooked potential through the 16 high quality undiscovered gems that combine stronger quality markers with limited current attention from the broader market.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


Get ready for the storm

Most PepsiCo employees will skim past the recent board appointment Joaquin Duarte. This appointment is part of Elliot Managements activist investment influence. PepsiCo is being reshaped and transformed with Pepsi/Frito merged distribution. 3rd party logistics are the future of their supply chain. Shareholder value will reach peak meaning soon. Job cuts will continue and likely be rolling job eliminations as duplicate roles will be targeted first. Macro economics are not favorable, but employees are dispensable in the short term. Anything is on the table to save share price. Don’t get comfortable and have your resume updated.


A second mystery bidder?

Lots of unverified/ speculative chatter on the web about a 2nd mysterious bidder willing to offer 70 dollars per share which is the boards starting negotiation price and which Stripe Advent were unable to offer. Is it true and who could it be that has the deep pockets? My wild guess is Watsapp/Meta or Twitter/Musk as both want to move out of pure advertising revenue and have the deep pockets.


Enrique is a loser

This guy was a loser at HP, loser on the BOD’s, and now a loser running the whole company. What was the plan here? This guy is an id--t with zero ideas and the negotiation skills of Trump. He will 100% accept a lowball offer for this company after he spends the next few months sending our share price back into the $42-$45 a share range. He has no plan and ruined productivity throughout the company.


Missed Opportunities

Questioning Maryann Mannen’s M&A experience / strength. There were rumors of a large Gulf Coast refinery acquisition that never materialized. Then leaked merger talks with P66 that fell short. These events happened when crack spreads were in the high teens and low $20’s. Imagine how either one could have further energized MPC’s share price now that crack spreads are running $60-&70. Any thoughts on possible missed opportunities by our CEO?


Disastrous strategy

I could not believe my eyes when I read the email yesterday from the leadership on new strategy. Dividing our markets into core, light and cross border will further weaken PP against Revolut outside US and Germany. And how long after Germans who travel outside and see everyone using Revolut decide to switch over themselves. This will weaken us against our competitors even further. I see share price and market share collapsing now to likes of Apple Pay and Revolut Pay.


Which would be worse -or- what might be better?

Which is the best (or worst) outcome here: (1) Insight is acquired by a Capgemini, NTT Data, Computacenter, Infosys, or Accenture - say its for their client footprint, onshore presence, vendor logistics, or whatever - or (2) PE steps in. Perhaps its Thoma Bravo, Francisco Partners, KKR, Apollo, etc - for the sake of executing a restructuring and margin optimization buy-and-build strategy without the public stock scrutiny - or (3) things remain the same. The same old same old same old same old Q-after-Q paper cut plan. What is the better option? 1, 2, or 3??? The wide range M&A Premium would place an implied price between $160 to $185/share. Enterprise market cap value minus net debt (~$1.3B) leaves decent forward P/E earnings power. What would you like to see happen? Which would be worse - what might be better?


Who would have thought?

Remember when we were all sure 3M was going belly up and we tried to jump ship to solventum? Well, joke is on all of us. 3M stock has appreciated 88% since spin off and SOLV 11%. S&P is up 44% during sane time frame. 3M Healthcare was a crown jewel in 3M and is somehow bo----g post spin. Make it make sense.


RPO $638B misunderstood by most people

In the FY2026 10-K Oracle says its $638 billion RPO is expected to convert into revenue approximately as follows:

~$77 billion over the next 12 months.
~$217 billion during months 13–36.
~$217 billion during months 37–60.
~$127 billion thereafter.

This includes the current revenue streams and potential AI revenue and not just AI revenue.

Let's just consider the first 5 years of the RPO schedule. You add the first 3 lines you $511B.

Oracle's FY24-FY26 total revenue reported is

FY2024: $53.0 billion
FY2025: $57.4 billion
FY2026: $67.4 billion
This is $0 from AI so far.

Extrapolating for the next 5 years with an average growth of 10% year on year (again no AI revnue yet) you get:

FY2027: 74.14B
FY2028: 81..55B
FY2029: 89.70B
FY2030: 98.67B
FY2031: 108.5B

Add it up you get $452B. Did I say no AI revenue yet?

What's the difference between the RPO ($511B) and realistic growth in revenue over next 5 years? ~$60B. That's $12B per year from AI. Does that sound far fetched?

So, why is the stock market overreacting? It's because of the negative cash flow (largely due to DC investments) , but that is only short term pain. And who says the new DCs need to be used for AI only? There's so many Federal and Defence programs that need Compute. Once the DC investments are completed Cash Flow will return to positive and it is only upwards from there.

Time to buy Oracle shares?


Google-Parent Alphabet to Replace Verizon in Dow Jones Industrial Average

Great! Verizon has been booted from the Dow!

Alphabet will join mega-cap tech peers Nvidia, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft in the blue-chip index.

Verizon had represented just around one-half of a percentage point in the index because of its low share price, S&P Global said. The Dow is a price-weighted index, meaning that each member stock is weighted based on its share price. As a result, a company with a higher price per share will have more sway over the index.

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/alphabet-to-replace-verizon-in-dow-jones-industrial-reshuffle-021307109.html

https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/google-parent-alphabet-to-replace-verizon-in-dow-jones-industrial-average-d8dfe852


Looks like share price is taking again

Someone mentioned on this forum not long ago that the executive board wants to take the share price below €100 so they can have more layoffs. It seems it's on track to do that. This AI obsession with price increase makes no sense. What is the tipping point for them to start layoffs?


$76/share gap to Marathon

Board, I know you are meeting tomorrow. This trend has to stop. Whatever polish this ELT tries to put on it, you need to hold them accountable.

YTD, PSX is up 36% while MPC is up 55%
1 year, PSX is up 58% and MPC is up 67%

Chemicals is up 70% YTD so we can’t blame CPChem.

The strategy is not working and you need to evaluate the break up scenario. The street is not buying the story and you continue to receive a conglomerate discount. Stop fighting with Elliott and start working constructively with them.


All good

'Big announcements at sapphire!!!'
'We are the pioneers of a new era!!!'
'the world will never be the same!!!'.
.
.
.
Share price down 1.4%


AITA for expecting the SAP share price to drop below 100?

I feel that Q1 earnings call will be a complete disaster. CK and DA are unhinged and have not grounded in reality anymore. They keep blaming employees, the market and even shareholders for their own personal failures. In a market where many companies are ki-ling it, SAP is left so far behind because of only one thing. A complete lack of strategy. There is no strategy besides we are doing AI in this feature. It is d-mb and shareholders will not be impressed anymore. Layoffs will take the price up a bit. They're increasing the dividend so shareholders will like that and the price will go up a bit. But there are no technical fundamentals that show growth compared to competitors. The Gartner magic quadrant and similar things are all bought for and even shareholders see through it. Even institutional investors are reducing stake in SAP. And SAP is trying to buy back its own stock like crazy because they want to pump it up temporarily. And so the share price will go up but come crashing down again. To less than 100. This is bound to happen before the end of 2026. And then in 2027, we will find out that CK gets a bonus of a quarter of a billion for this Katastrophe.


JD vs EH

Educated at Ivy League universities vs no-name college

Worked at prestigious organizations like Bain, Paypal, Service now vs Nike only experience ( that too which he got by literally begging for it)

$170 share price and $52 billion revenue vs comedy that we are seeing now

Has PHK made a mistake by replacing a highly educated, intelligent leader with Shoe salesman? The results are for everyone to see, even if JD continued I am sure that share prices wouldn't have dipped this low.

I am not saying JD would have been the best person to continue on the job, but he would be as aweful as EH. EH got free hand in literally replacing JD's handpicked team, and all the freedom to reshape company's strategy but the outcomes have been the worst.

What do you guys think, how much time does EH have before he is shown the door?


New SF Low

How far does the stock have to fall before someone realizes we have the wrong leadership? The Ferriswheel sold worldpay to FIS and then became CEO of FIS. Spun it as a great thing to jettison it. Wow! She really is amazing for her own net worth. While the shareholders and employees keep losing, she wins. Let me guess more cuts are coming because that is all she and her BFF can come up with when they catch heat. If McKinsey was public, it would have been a better investment than FIS. Meanwhile go tell the banks these are great changes for us. Look at the pretty dolphin.


Zacks “Strong Sell” downgrade - 03/20/2026

Zacks Research lowered OPTU from a “hold” to a “strong sell” rating this morning , which is the most direct news item today that would be pushing shares down. Zacks also issued forward EPS estimates that are all deeply negative — projecting losses of $0.54 per share for FY2026, $0.49 for FY2027, and $0.69 for FY2028  — a worsening trajectory that doesn’t inspire confidence.


I never thought the share price would get this high

As the title says, I never thought that SHEL would sell above $90.00/share. I guess that the rising tide raised all the ships, even the sinking ones( BP and Shel have risen just about as much over the last 6-months). There is a saying for stocks, "bulls make money, bears make money, and pigs get sla-ghtered". Frankly, I sold about half of it when it got to $75. I don't regret that... I'm still shocked that it has gotten this high. Now, I've sold off 95% of my shares and think there might be a good chance we'll hit my limit price and sell the last 5%! In hindsight, I look and think every day for the last year, it would have been better to sell SHEL and buy XOM; so, I don't regret selling early... I regret not investing in stocks I thought were too high.
Do you think that the SHEL rise continues? Did I sell too early?
I am not providing investment advice... just entertainment and anecdotes.