GG here:
So, Xerox will drag along into 2027 and maybe 2028, but what if they don't?
What if this is the last 60 days of ore-petition solvency?
It's a long shot, and not at all likely, but it IS possible, and it would most likely be the IPCO JV that does XRX in.
Here's where we are today:
Preferred and common stock dividends are gone
Cash Flow is dangerously low
LP admits on a earnings call, that a vendor, or vendors, have curtailed credit to XRX
The company's IP is locked up in a 5 year deal with onerous covenants
Starting with the last one, first. XRX's IP is tied up with this deal and can be yanked awain on default. All the other debt currently carried is just debt. This TPG Debt is an actual bo-b that could go off and take down the company. When I can IP, I mean basis things like patents, but that also is the the brand name and logo. Obviously Xerox can't do business without a logo, or the patents underpinning the units being sold.
It is the ultimate greenmail instrument. If things go south, TPG will be the first lender to get paid, even if the other dept holders have to pay them out of their end, to keep using the brand name.
Also keep in mind that LPs current Golden Parachute expires on 12/31 with the "change of ownership" clause. If the end of Xerox is inevitable, why wouldn't LP steer it into the ditch now and get the payout. Also, the sooner CH11 is filed, the better chance they have of pulling out and avoiding the CH7 down the road.