If there are indeed layoffs, they will only be for employees who joined in the acquisitions or employees on mid range salaries. Developers, QA, support engineers and product managers will be fired but never HRBP or development managers with complaints against them. There are many employees who continue to be very highly paid and keep getting a higher salary and more stock options every year. That's because they get it once in March and their network triggers a reorganisation in the middle of the year where they get promoted or have a role change. In all my years at SAP, I have seen this happen all the time and this is only intensifying since the talk about layoffs. So even if there are any layoffs, expensive employees who should be laid off will still be there and those that deserve or do more will be asked to leave or be given such a pitiful salary increment and bad performance that they will have to leave. Also, you can expect only employees from Walldorf and St Leon-Rot to head all important positions in the new acquisitions and in other locations. No matter where most of the team members are, the managers will almost always be based in Walldorf and St Leon-Rot now. And once the back to office shenanigans start they will give a bad performance to any report who isn't based in their location.
Regarding executive bonuses, the executive board will get them. They have the supervisory board in their pocket and the Works Council is too powerless to revolt or strike or do anything about it. CK got €18 million as a bonus in addition to his salary when he vowed to fire 10000 employees. And if the supervisory board wanted to keep him in check, they would have given that as stock options and not in cash. But they gave him cash. He and most of the executive board members will live comfortable lives even if they have to resign or leave now. But they will squeeze every million out of SAP before they go. A lower share price only means that they will intensify layoffs. And the entire SAP strategy is based on AI and a complete shift from the core business. If AI fails, SAP will lose everything. But the board is too incompetent to come up with any real strategy or an alternative plan in case AI is a bubble. There is no real SAP strategy besides 'build only AI features and make customers pay more' and 'lay off as many employees as possible to reduce short term operating costs'. That is sufficient for them to squeeze money off SAP and leave. Most employees don't realize that the money that is given to the executive board comes from the savings by laying employees off and from reducing their benefits and salary appraisals budget. It is like blood money. But CK, Dominik Asam and others have so many fans within SAP, they will do anything for them. The future is truly lost now and there is no hope.