Thread regarding Wells Fargo & Co. layoffs

Real reason for RTO and it not collaboration

FRTO and F all the execs that are saying it's because we are better in person, the 2 plus years of the pandemic proved that most were better working remotely, but that hurts the corporate real estate values. They need to be able to dump them first and not lose money which is why you are being forced to RTO.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/20/investing/blackstone-earnings-cre/index.html

From the link so you don't have to go there...

"Blackstone is the latest victim of the weakening commercial real estate market..

The ongoing commercial real estate slowdown has a new victim: Blackstone, the largest owner of commercial real estate globally. The company saw its distributable earnings — the profit distributed to shareholders after expenses — plunge 36% since last year. That’s raising eyebrows on Wall Street as investors assess the fallout from last month’s regional banking crisis.

Blackrock’s decline was driven by an easing of value in its real estate investments. The company’s real estate segment’s distributable earnings fell 58% since last year. Profits from sales fell 54% to $4.4 billion, down from $9.5 billion last year, for the amount of total commercial real estate assets sold. But that number is a reflection of fewer assets sold, not necessarily of lower prices, a spokesperson for Blackstone told CNN.

After decades of thriving growth bolstered by low interest rates and easy credit, the $20 trillion commercial real estate industry has seemingly hit a wall. Office and retail property valuations have been falling since the pandemic brought about lower occupancy rates and changes in where people work and how they shop. The Federal Reserve’s efforts to fight inflation by raising interest rates have also hurt the credit-dependent industry.

Recent banking stress has added to those woes. Lending to commercial real estate developers and managers largely comes from small and midsize banks, where the pressure on liquidity has been most severe. About 80% of all bank loans for commercial properties come from regional banks, according to Goldman Sachs economists.

Recently, short-sellers have stepped up their bets against commercial landlords, indicating that they think the market will continue to fall as regional banks limit access to credit. Real estate is the most shorted industry globally and the third most in the United States, according to S&P Global.

Still, on an earnings call Thursday morning, CEO Stephen Schwarzman said that Blackstone was prepared to weather “adverse market conditions.”

Blackstone president Jonathan Gray emphasized on Thursday’s earnings call that the company has diversified its investments, and more-troubled office real estate only makes 2% of their holdings. That’s down from 61% in 2007"

by
| 1835 views | | 8 replies (last April 26, 2023) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1mf5HIs3

8 replies (most recent on top)

“After decades of thriving growth bolstered by low interest rates and easy credit, the $20 trillion commercial real estate industry has seemingly hit a wall. Office and retail property valuations have been falling since the pandemic brought about lower occupancy rates and changes in where people work and how they shop. The Federal Reserve’s efforts to fight inflation by raising interest rates have also hurt the credit-dependent industry.”

Salvation for CRE won’t come from forced RTO. The lack of true business need will eventually win out and office spaces are doomed. Instead, that industry should be focusing on realigning to build up multi-unit residential buildings as well as retail/food/social venues (not everything makes sense to buy online, afterall) to meet growing demand in the places that will see a population bo-m as remote work grows. Loans to buy out and repurpose old office spaces could be another source for this sector.

As long as rates are high this turnaround won’t happen quickly no matter what, but with inflation finally starting to tail off we’re looking at most one or two more small rate hikes, and hopefully in another year or so they’ll start lowering them again. At which point, do developers really want to be holding on for dear life to a dying market segment, or pivot to the future?

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @5wfk+1mf5HIs3

@hqp+1mf5HIs3. Not to mention, I doubt customers want their sensitive data in the hands of offshore workers. This will backfire.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @4nat+1mf5HIs3

I am pretty sure the super aggressive pro PTO posts are all posted by Sr Mgmt (or the people they pay to post them)

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @vwc+1mf5HIs3

My team wanted RTO because highly experienced H1B needs to learn and conquer.

My manager showed up forcing knowledge transfer. Took 2 hour lunch and went home at 4 pm.

VP level jobs are the best on earth.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @cyf+1mf5HIs3

Corporate real estate is tomorrow’s toxic assets. Charlie isn’t going to be here when the bottom drops out (he’s our highest paid temporary employee). He’ll line his pockets and be long gone before anyone is the wiser.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @dot+1mf5HIs3

Charlie admitted in a townhall that productivity was up with WFH over a year ago. Then his greed kicked in and he expected the same or greater productivity by forcing RTO. Another bad decision by a failed CEO and Board. Lost a ton of institutional knowledge by attacking long time employees and wonders why he can't get the asset cap lifted. Now outsourcing to India and Phillippines because he can save a buck. Doesn't understand that the work produced there is no where in comparison to work produced by employees stateside. That will be the next shocker!

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @hqp+1mf5HIs3

Agree.

But I also think it is about outdated leaders aggressively beating their chests to brag about having complete control over their employees.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @gru+1mf5HIs3

F the commercial real estate market. Figuratively burn it all down. It's the buggy whip of the 21st century. A completely unnecessary relic of the past. Those buildings can and should be repurposed. Everyone in urban S holes is constantly droning on about "low income housing" (which is expensive as heck BTW), well, here you go, a perfect opportunity for developers to buy urban square footage for pennies on the dollar to repurpose to residential. Added bonus, a lot of these newer properties are certified green. Yippy skippy.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @gmu+1mf5HIs3

Post a reply

: