Stankey is going to have an uphill battle but here are my predictions.
HBO max numbers will be met by giving away the service. Then when the numbers need to reflect this success, they will cut more jobs to make it look like the company is doing well financially. He will not have the luxury that Randall had when it comes to buying other companies to hide their losses.
All this said, I see Stankey being around 2-3 years at the most. Don't forge about Stephens who orchestrated much of this financial mess. I would also see any last minute announcement of a Stephens "retirement" as a red flag, but I don't think he will be around much longer either. They can only shuffle the chairs for so many quarters.