Thread regarding Oracle Corp. layoffs

This is Where Oracle Ends Up

The year is 2025. Inflation is still an issue and the economy muddles along. Oracle, realizing its $28 billion dollar acquisition of Cerner was a bridge too far, continues to struggle. To remake itself:

  • Larry decides that the company will focus on 3 core areas: Healthcare analytics, Oracle Cloud, and the flagship database product it was always known for.
  • Existing business solutions are matched 1-to-1 with their NetSuite equivalent. No equivalent means no future—which means goodbye to Sun. ACX at the enterprise level is now either spun off into a new company or sold for pieces to Salesforce or Adobe. HCM, SCM, ERP, analytics, and others are merged into NetSuite and sold as one.
  • Java is spun off into its own company or sold to Google. All that litigation from the mid-2010s becomes wasted cash, but who cares? The lawyers are rich now.
  • Marketing at NetSuite and Oracle become merged, following a "One Oracle" moniker. It's NetSuite focused, with an emphasis on industry and use case marketing. There will be a very slimmed down marketing plan that focuses on product marketing assets. Demand marketing like white papers, guides, email nurtures will cease to exist or be extremely simplified.

Spend will lag behind SAP, Workday, and other competitors and despite still being atop Gartner MQ rankings, the customer results will begin to show.

Farfetched? Come back in 2025 and see. The company will survive and will be a shell of its former glory. Safra will still be in the corner filling out her spreadsheets figuring out who to lay off.

Happy to hear your theories going forward.

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| 2462 views | | 8 replies (last October 8, 2022) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1j4tsgiK

8 replies (most recent on top)

Wrong - whenever the Emperor truly steps aside the stock will go up. The financial analysts think LE’s narrative on every earnings call is a bunch of narcissistic mumbo jumbo. They see right through him.

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Post ID: @2ulw+1j4tsgiK

ERP/HCM are larger than NetSuite and have way more growth potential than NetSuite. I don't see the tail wagging the dog.

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Post ID: @2mrf+1j4tsgiK

We will end up like any other house of cards. The higher you go, the greater the fall!

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Post ID: @1qip+1j4tsgiK

Sooner or later, he might sell Oracle while he can. If they can change the company where it is more valuable, look for the exit plan. None of his children are going to run it. If he doesn't die before then, I believe the succession or exit plan will occur - unless he has the number 80 in his head to step away.

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Post ID: @1mkv+1j4tsgiK

@1tqd+1j4tsgiK is 78 years old. He can probably be legitimately lucid for another 5 years. Maybe 10 years since he's trying for invincibility. Will he be as clear as Warren Buffett in his old age? Probably not.

But you are right—once he goes, then it really tanks the stock price. At that point, it will be his executives fighting for fiefdoms, and the body won't even be cold yet.

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Post ID: @1qdv+1j4tsgiK

Not impossible. O sounds like a company in search of a mission right now with all these divergent acquisitions. Or they are acting like a chicken with its head cut off, to be more blunt.

O can survive in zombie mode for years, decades even. Or they can become more unstable than Francium once LE sheds his mortal coil. Let's face it, O is disliked, LE is universally disliked and SC is disliked. If any or all three of them ever become vulnerable, nobody is going to feel sorry for them.

I can see O sell off divisions and I think Java and hardware are the first two to go. (Don't call it Sun, it hasn't been Sun in 12 years and a very high percentage of former Sun people are gone) Anything low margin, will be at risk. Don't forget virtualbox and MySQL. They can get good money for them and Maybe LE can buy another island with the proceeds. Or maybe get into something else they know nothing about like the automotive software business by buying up some struggling niche player. (Can you imagine it? "Oracle, please give me the directions to the dentist". No, give me $1000 or your car won't start".) They sure won't use it for R&D or trying to improve the brand.

They still haven't figured out they aren't the only game in town anymore.

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Post ID: @1tqd+1j4tsgiK

@1lfc+1j4tsgiK If so, then why did they literally bring over the Netsuite leadership to manage O marketing?

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Post ID: @1ssq+1j4tsgiK

Wonder if you work on Netsuite product. Seriously I believe O may want to sell Netsuite along with all applications as there is just too much competition and alternatives in the market.

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Post ID: @1lfc+1j4tsgiK

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