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Here are some facts, I'd be happy to provide supporting detail or sources:

  • we do not know how lethal it is, they are seeing 4% in wuhan, and 1% in rest of the china, the rest of the world varies
  • it spares kids under 10 almost completely, extremely rarely k–ls folks under 30
  • it's moving slower than flu, started in jan but only 90K cases globally
  • see bullet above - probably less infectious than flu
  • it's not a flu, it's a completely different family of viruses
  • only two major symptoms: dry cough and fever - no runny nose/sinus issues reported
  • about 20% of the infected population become very ill, only 5% need hospitalization and ventilators
  • if you have family members older than 70 you should be really worried and have a plan for helping them separated until this thing is over - love them and help them but have a plan
  • EVERY SINGLE COUNTRY hit hard has quickly exhausted medical capacity, ventilators are a must but are very expensive and require an crew to operate - this will happen here if things get out of control and we cannot leave folks to die because we are out of ventilators, that's why it's critical to slow the darn thing down
  • lives on surfaces 5 to 15 days (scientists are still arguing about this) we are not sure

My link and #twitter #gold #listing is below:

  • Marc Lipsitch - @mlipsitch

Director, Harvard, The Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics (CCDD)
Infectious disease epidemiologist and microbiologist, aspirational barista. mlipsitc@hsph.harvard.edu Director @CCDD_HSPH
https://twitter.com/mlipsitch

  • Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell)

Senior Writer, infectious diseases @statnews
https://twitter.com/HelenBranswell

  • John Hopkins University Geo Map, Real Time:

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

  • Strain Mutations:

https://nextstrain.org/ncov?l=unrooted