The idea that the only reason we needed to lower cloud forecast is that our data centers can't keep up with demand is complete fiction. Yes, it is true that our investment in data centers has been anemic and that has hurt our top line.
https://www.v3.co.uk/v3-uk/news/3008789/aws-oracles-cloud-investment-claims-dont-add-up
But this has been true for a long time. This is by design. The executive leadership team will only sign off on new CAPEX for the cloud when it is demonstrably hurting our top line a lot. We aren't a real cloud where we have the resources to scale to our customer's needs. We never intended to be. We never will be.
But like I said, that is nothing new. The real reason we can't keep up with expectations is that we basically cannibalised everything for the past two quarters. We have burned way too many bridges with our most valuable customer and our sales pipelines are drying up.
Most of our "cloud" revenue has been one-time credits that were booked as part of on-prem (non-cloud) deals. Sales people desperate to make their cloud quota will reengineer non-cloud deals to suddenly include a ton of cloud credits with steeply discounted on-prem licenses. Customers don('t complain because they are still getting all the on-prem licenses they bargained for at the same overall price. This practice is known as "cloudwashing", and Oracle is certainly not the only legacy IT vendor doing it. This is why we have been able to get away with so few data centers to begin with: very few of our "cloud customers" have ever used our cloud at all! If they do decide to try it out to see if they are interested, they see technology that is years if not a full decade behind our competitors. Our SaaS software just doesn't work: it's too buggy, doesn't have the features they want, is down all the time, and is WAY too slow. So our customers never renew these cloud contracts. When Amazon brings in a new user, they have a pretty good chance that the new customer will continue to pay them for years. We, not so much. Very few of our cloud customers ever renew anything in our cloud.
This means that their is very little recurring revenue in our cloud. Each quarter, we start from zero and need to fight to get new people to "buy" credits. Of course we have a FEW real cloud customers. And a number of places that lease our stuff for use in their own data centers that we somehow get away with calling "cloud". But most of our cloud revenue was a one-time thing that we will not be able to depend on. Our cloud is a revolving door for our customers. Growing it much farther than where it is today would require a revolution in how we do business and treat our customers. Our current leadership (LE, MH, SC, TK, ES) is simply neither capable nor motivated to drive such far-reaching changes.