Goldman Sachs economists forecast that artificial intelligence could displace approximately one in eleven workers in the U.S. This displacement is expected to accelerate during economic slowdowns rather than immediate recessions. Historical data shows that automation-related job losses are cyclical, intensifying when the economy weakens. Companies tend to restructure and reduce labor costs during downturns, a pattern observed across decades of technological shifts. Therefore, significant AI-driven layoffs are anticipated to coincide with future recessions.
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https://fortune.com/2026/10/22/goldman-sachs-forecast-how-many-jobs-lost-to-ai-9-percent/