CEO's across the globe are freaking out as their #1 cheap labor supply catches covid and dies.
Most American CEO's had no plan for operational risk and concentrated their entire back office operations in a single country with the cheapest labor pool and unfortunate for American executives and shareholders, the least prepared country to handle a pandemic.
"The situation is dire and heart breaking to see" Google CEO Sundar Pichai said yesterday. He provided an ominous warning: "The worse is yet to come."
But there are differing approaches to handling the pandemic situation in India.
Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon said “Getting [employees] in to the office is best way to get them connected to Goldman Sachs." This includes staff in India where the pandemic is out of control.
Charlie Scharf, CEO of Wells Fargo stated “We are encouraged by the significant increase in vaccination availability and have started to plan for a return to a more normal operating model in September”. India is the #1 vaccine producer in the world.
In stark contrast, international banks are pulling capacity out of India to relieve pressure on staff suffering from the country’s intense second coronavirus wave, as regulators consult with lenders about the potential impact of the crisis.
Regulators in respective countries are questioning CEO's about the inherent operational risk to global financial stability in the midst of the pandemic raging in India. US regulators however have remained silent about the risk to American banks back office operations in India.
UK lenders Barclays, NatWest and Standard Chartered, which between them directly employ more than 50,000 staff in India, have all been putting non-essential work on hold or diverting business to employees in other countries and stepping up support for India-based staff in recent days.
Jes Staley, Barclays chief executive, said on Friday: “We are shifting some capacity to the UK, India is a very tough place right now.” He said the bank has taken steps such as asking staff in the UK, including those in branches, to take more calls and work longer hours.
https://www.ft.com/content/68e54a6b-5f57-4ef4-8cd1-0c5785417b66
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India is the world’s largest back-office and outsourcing hub, with some 6,000,000 employees doing everything from answering customer-service calls to providing research for investment banks and hedge funds.
Medical capacity in India is severely underbuilt and poorly funded. Healthcare capacity is severely limited. There just are not enough qualified doctors and nurses to run the equipment and intubate patients who need supplementary life support.
Forecasting that the COVID-19 pandemic is only going to get worse, noted surgeon Dr Devi Prasad Shetty has said India will need an extra 500,000 ICU beds, 200,000 nurses and 150,000 doctors in the next few weeks, and also suggested radical solutions to meet the mountainous challenge.
At present, India has only 75,000 to 90,000 ICU beds and almost all are already occupied - when the second wave of the pandemic hasn't even reached its peak yet, he said. India is reporting about 350,000 cases a day, and some experts say the number could go up to 500,000 cases daily at its peak.
https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/india-will-need-500-000-icu-beds-350-000-medical-staff-in-next-few-weeks-121042900588_1.html
United States (34.7 Beds Per 100,000 People); population 334,000,000; 575000 died
Germany (29.2 Beds Per 100,000 People); population 84,000,000; 83000 died
China (3.6 Beds Per 100,000 People); population 1,400,000,000; 5000 died (questionable)
India (2.3 Beds Per 100,000 People); population 1,400,000,000; 215,000 died so far (questionable)
It is likely India will go to complete lock down in next couple weeks. India has no social safety net so starvation will likely be leading cause of death at that time.
It has been projected a total of 250,000,000 people in India will die of covid over the next couple months, or about 17% of the population. This is more than the entire population of Pakistan or Brazil to put the number in context.