Are Apollo Education and University of Phoenix making the benchmarks stipulated for the merger? If they aren't met, I'm not sure Leon Black (Apollo Global Management) has any obligation to seal the deal. I still can't figure out why Apollo Global Management agreed to up the price to $10. It didn't stop a shareholder lawsuit.
In any case, University of Phoenix is looking weaker by the day. Especially after the shareholder lawsuit and the crash of ITT Tech.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/apollo-group-sinking-ship-dahn-shaulis
I'm also hearing that ex-employees have recently sent some very damning information to the Department of Education, but it's up to DoED, the VA, DOD and other agencies to take action.
One thing that's protecting University of Phoenix is that Tony Miller, who worked under Arne Duncan, is supposed to guide the ship after the merger. But if Obama's friend Miller is taken out of the picture, that allows DoED to scrutinize UoPX closer with less political complications. Apollo Education does have Jane Oates and a host of lobbyists, but they may not be enough.
At University of Phoenix, it's heads they win and tail you lose. If Apollo Global Management/Vistria takes over, they will do what they do as vulture capitalists--perhaps slowly but within the next 18 months. If they back out of the deal, it will be another mess--and little protection from government agencies.