I think we've all realized with the M&M&M boys that it is no longer a matter of IF but only HOW SOON AND HOW MANY.
I watched the market today, around my price is right break and my 2 pm nap. 3M came perilously close to dipping below 100 in the 1st time in 10 years. From what I can tell, there is price support around a low of 95. After that it will plummet to the low 80s.
Notice how the gentle bump from the layoff announcement has totally dissipated.
I see it testing the mid 90s on and off into July. I suspect a crash below the 95 down to low 80s will leave us with another big layoff when earnings are announced in late July. It could be anywhere from 3k to 6k. And like the current round, bosses will have to meet hurriedly in maplewood and elsewhere to divide the work among the "survivors" left behind.
This may also set the stage for the inevitable announcement that pension in frozen. That could be announced in October and become effective Jan 2025. The good news is you'll have until end of 2024 to add to your pot.
The only wildcard in leadership shake-up is when Mike replaces Mike. I think once they know the HCBG spin is happening, you'll see Monish head to HC and "should have fired more people earlier" Vale takeover as CEO, with Roman staying as chairman probably into 2025.
Good luck to all and please stop clapping in townhalls if you have been doing this.