XOM is not a victim of Covid or oversupply, it is a victim of years of poor management decisions, a toxic work culture, incredibly wasteful work practices, and arrogance. Sure, Covid added to the pain, but XOM was in for a major correction long before the current crisis.
Crude demand will increase and prices will rise, sooner or later. It's inevitable. Since a rising tide elevates all ships, XOM will benefit from external factors along with others in the industry.
But XOM has a tremendous amount of work to do in order to ever become an industry leader again. I don't think it can happen because the same people that supported the many shortcomings of XOM are the same people now in charge. And they will perpetuate the same strategies and processes that brought XOM to its knees today. And they will get richer and richer.
If, hopefully when, the stock rises to the $60-70/sh price where shareholders can sell near their costs basis, XOM will be abandoned by almost everyone who owns shares today. That is when they will be in real danger of permanently becoming a second or third tier player forever.
Perfectly stated, @ydh+17REt91r. Reposted so more folks can see it.