For those of you that have been living the appliance inventory nightmare of the past 3 to 4 months you are already well aware of the crippling issues we are having at the store level. However, I would attribute our appliance inventory woes to Lowe's just not wanting to spend money in the 4th quarter so they can inflate their end of year numbers for the stockholders. Actually had one of our major appliance vendors tell me that there were reports of Lowe's actively canceling purchase orders in the 4th quarter.
I believe the prophesy that the original poster is making is that with China essentially in lock down due to the novel coronavirus that the impact on manufacturing/exports will soon have a ripple effect on the entire world. Take a look around any store, including Lowe's, and you will quickly see just how much of the whole goods we sell in this country originate from China. Then when you start to factor in all the essential Chinese manufactured components that go into larger finished goods (autos, appliances, etc) the supply chain world wide can easily become crippled. We are not there yet but if the novel coronavirus continues to spread across China at the rates we are seeing over the past few weeks the human and economic impact could be disastrous.